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How Much Over Asking

How Much Over Asking Should You Offer? City by City Data

Updated November 4, 2026

Nationally, 23.2% of homes sold above list price in the four weeks ending October 25, 2026 and the average sale-to-list ratio was 98.3% (Redfin, October 29, 2026), but our MLS closings show the answer swings from a median 13.7% over list in San Francisco (77.6% of homes sold above asking, and a quarter closed more than 31.6% over) to a median 3.0% under list in Austin (80.4% sold below asking, 72.7% of sellers cut the price first).

TurboHome Market Analysis · California and Texas · Closings August through October 2026 · Published November 2026

Oakland is close behind at a median 10.0% over list; San Jose, Sacramento, San Diego and Los Angeles sit at or near list; Houston, Irvine and Dallas close about 2% under.

How much over asking, city by city

Each row comes from that city's page, sorted from the biggest premium over list to the biggest discount. "Median close as % of list" compares the sale price with the asking price when the offer was accepted, so 113.7% means the median home sold 13.7% over list.

How much over asking, city by city, data table
CityMedian close as % of listShare sold above listShare sold below listMedian premium when sold over list90th percentile close as % of listMedian days on marketShare with a price cut before closingMedian sale price
San Francisco, CA113.7%77.6%13.0%20.4% over list149.9%137.3%$1,650,000
Oakland, CA110.0%72.2%18.5%17.7% over list146.5%1515.1%$806,000
Sacramento, CA100.0%52.5%30.7%2.1% over list105.1%1932.7%$440,000
San Jose, CA100.0%42.9%46.2%3.8% over list108.7%1626.8%$1,350,444
San Diego, CA99.3%29.6%53.3%2.4% over list103.5%1730.5%$935,000
Los Angeles, CA99.3%35.1%52.8%3.9% over list108.3%2427.6%$1,135,000
Houston, TX97.9%13.6%65.6%2.0% over list100.9%2634.8%$300,000
Irvine, CA97.9%14.0%74.0%1.8% over list100.8%3038.1%$1,450,000
Dallas, TX97.8%13.8%68.6%1.8% over list100.8%3243.6%$465,000
Austin, TX97.0%7.3%80.4%1.5% over list100.0%8072.7%$530,000

How much over asking by region

Methodology

Each city page uses closings of single family homes, condos and townhouses from our MLS feed, closed August through October 2026 (Sacramento: May through October 2026, because the city sample is small), with the same months of 2025 for the year-over-year comparison. "Close vs list" is the closing price divided by the list price in effect when the offer was accepted; "close vs original asking" uses the first list price. "Sold above list" means the closing price exceeded the list price by any amount. Sales under $50,000 are excluded. Figures are medians unless stated. Published November 2026.

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About the Author

Vinura Abeysundara

Vinura Abeysundara is a real estate and growth professional with experience scaling homebuying platforms across Canada and the United States. Formerly Head of Growth at Zown, he now works with TurboHome and writes about homebuyer savings, flat-fee real estate, commissions, and technology in real estate.

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About Kevin Kretzmer

Head Agent, California

Kevin Kretzmer leads TurboHome's California agent team and reviews California and national buyer guidance for practical brokerage accuracy.

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